Russia economy faces first quarterly contraction in three years amid war strain

May 15, 2026, 9:40:06 PM UTC(5 hours ago)
Impact: High
Russia economy faces first quarterly contraction in three years amid war strain

Affected Assets

  • Russia reported a 0.2 percent GDP contraction in the first quarter of 2026 marking its first quarterly decline in three years
  • The national budget deficit soared to 60 billion dollars in the first three months of 2026 exceeding the forecast for the entire year
  • Official growth projections for 2026 were slashed from 1.3 percent down to 0.4 percent as labor shortages and inflation impact non-military sectors
  • Small business profitability has plummeted with nearly two-thirds of firms reporting no profit in early 2026 according to the Chamber of Commerce
  • President Putin claimed economic growth returned in March despite the overall quarterly downturn and mounting pressure from international sanctions

Sources

The contraction is a setback for President Vladimir Putin’s demand for continued growth as he pursues the war in Ukraine. https://t.co/mLAKqXSyef https://t.co/cRK03BbOLR
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Russia economy faces first quarterly contraction in three years amid war strain | Foxly Invest